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Tuesday
Mar312009

« The Black Swan Doesn't Need A Bailout: Dr. Nassim Taleb Says "Bernanke Should Be Removed From Office" (CNBC Video March 31) »

Nassim Taleb made an appearance on Squawk Box this morning with Arianna Huffington and the crew.  The discussion of failed banks dominated.  Taleb correctly demands that those in power who did not see foresee the crisis should be removed.  Federal Reserve Chairman Ben Bernanke is singled out.  How can we rely on failed leaders to extract us from a crisis they neither understood nor saw coming.  The bank bailout crisis continues in his view because the same disgraced few are attempting to continue with the old order. 

  • "Myron Scholes should be in a retirement home doing Sudoku."
  • "Remove people from office who oversaw and caused the build-up of hidden risk in the system.  Bernanke and others."
  • "The academic economics establishment failed us.  Their econometric systems failed."
  • "All but the least complex of derivatives should be eliminated."
  • "Doing away with mark to market accounting equates to putting your head in the sand."

From CNBC

Altering mark-to-market accounting rules would bring more opacity to the financial system, said Nassim Taleb, “The Black Swan” author.

“It’s exactly like how a thermometer makes a patient look more sick,” he said in a CNBC interview. “Eliminating the mark-to-market is exactly like putting your head in the sand.”

Rather than taxpayers propping up large banks, Taleb said, the hedge fund model should be followed.

“Some go bust, some do okay, some have problems,” he said. “We don’t care. It’s their problem. It’s not society’s problem.”

Fixing the financial crisis requires a financial system with less debt and less complex derivatives, he said. The solution is not to alter the current financial structure, said Taleb, but rather, to look for “robustness” in the system.

“Complexity causes fragility,” he said. “You’re no longer riding a horse—you’re flying a Concorde. A horse doesn’t explode but a Concorde can have a problem. We now have a Concorde in our hands.”

 

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Reader Comments (17)

ABC news on Cassano.

I'll be putting together something on this next.

http://abcnews.go.com/search?searchtext=cassano&type=
March 31, 2009 | Registered CommenterDailyBail
As of this morning, Bloomberg's new bailout total is $12.8 trillion.

http://www.bloomberg.com/apps/news?pid=20601087&sid=armOzfkwtCA4&refer=home
March 31, 2009 | Registered CommenterDailyBail
But now, in a little-noticed move, the House Financial Services Committee, led by chairman Barney Frank, has approved a measure that would, in some key ways, go beyond the most draconian features of the original AIG bill. The new legislation, the "Pay for Performance Act of 2009," would impose government controls on the pay of all employees -- not just top executives -- of companies that have received a capital investment from the U.S. government. It would, like the tax measure, be retroactive, changing the terms of compensation agreements already in place. And it would give Treasury Secretary Timothy Geithner extraordinary power to determine the pay of thousands of employees of American companies.

http://www.washingtonexaminer.com/politics/Beyond-AIG-A-Bill-to-let-Big-Government-Set-Your-Salary-42158597.html
March 31, 2009 | Registered CommenterDailyBail
Geithner's Bank Rescue Plan Not A 'Cure-All': Roubini

http://www.cnbc.com/id/29971155
March 31, 2009 | Registered CommenterDailyBail
@DailyBail

"Morgan Stanley's John Mack is honest."

No, he wants to be perceived as being honest. There is a difference. Suffice to say I am not a member of the John J. Mack fan club, nor of Philip Purcell, NASD, or FINRA.

http://www.bloomberg.com/apps/news?pid=20601087&sid=aJX.sej6xrYE&refer=home

"Morgan Stanley, the second-largest securities firm, will pay $12.5 million to settle regulatory claims it wrongly withheld e-mails in arbitration cases by saying they were lost in the Sept. 11 attacks, the company's third sanction since 2002 for mishandling the records."

"Current CEO John Mack made improving the firm's standing with securities regulators a priority when he took the helm in June 2005. Today's accord resolves a claim filed in December by Finra's predecessor, NASD."
March 31, 2009 | Unregistered Commenterspideydouble
" The world has manny problems that cannot be solved by the level of thinking which created them"

Albert Einstein
August 9, 2009 | Unregistered CommenterTerry Nevins
Why 10 minutes into Talebs description of the economy and its failings does the f******* us media deem it appropriate to play some halfassed rock music over his piece?

Doesn't the american media 'do' intelligent discussion programs any more?

Was the music played to wake up the hillbillies and get them dancing their way to economic prosperity?

What is wrong with just silence and human voices?
August 21, 2009 | Unregistered CommenterDavid H Parry
Was the music played to wake up the hillbillies and get them dancing their way to economic prosperity?

Absolutely yes. In our post apocalyptic, anti-narcoleptic, MTV driven culture, entertainment rules.
August 23, 2009 | Registered CommenterDailyBail
Way for Arianna to butt in...
August 23, 2009 | Unregistered CommenterB
She's the lost Gabor sister, dahling.
August 28, 2009 | Unregistered CommenterWhit Tarlton
I was totally prepared to write something long and, by my estimate, intelligent about Taleb's brilliance. But then my 8 year old walked in and asked who this was. I told him he is a brilliant man that he should get to know. The following was the rest of the response;

"Does he rock people? Is he a football player?"

"No, he's a banker, a trader."

"Oh, he's a bad guy?"

You know, doesn't that just about sum it up?

I did explain the difference...
September 3, 2009 | Unregistered CommenterOberron4life
oh a bad guy....you have a smart son...
September 3, 2009 | Registered CommenterDailyBail
Maybe Taleb is the guy I've been looking for - the one I can trust. But then he tells me to question everything. Now what do I do? I'm sure the panel was all over him, asking him how he invests. He didn't say it in so many words, but his answer appears to be "I invest in myself". Brilliant. And quite a sense of humor.
December 24, 2009 | Unregistered CommenterNeruda
DB...MTV still exists. Hmmm.
December 24, 2009 | Unregistered CommenterGobiasBestFriend
Einstein spells worse than me.
December 24, 2009 | Unregistered CommenterGobiasBestFriend
"DB...MTV still exists. Hmmm. "

Yeah, but it is not cool like back in the day. Music has really gone to hell...
December 24, 2009 | Unregistered CommenterS. Gompers

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