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BP DISASTER: Leaked Internal Documents Say Spill Could Be 100,000 Barrels Per Day

This is not a huge surprise considering Matthew Simmons said last week that the spill might be as large as 120,000 bpd.  But the internal documents provide more proof that BP executives, including yacht-racing afficionado Tony Hayward, have been strategically lying and low-balling the figures since day one.

More photos inside.


Questions remain on integrity of well casing...

WASHINGTON (June 20, 2010) -- Today Representative Ed Markey (D-Mass.) released an internal BP document showing that the company's own analysis believed that a worst-case scenario, based on damage to the well bore, could result in 100,000 barrels of oil per day.

In the document, BP stated: If BOP and wellhead are removed and if we have incorrectly modeled the restrictions – the rate could be as high as ~ 100,000 barrels per day up the casing or 55,000 barrels per day up the annulus (low probability worst cases)

To read the document, CLICK HERE.

This number is in sharp contrast to BP’s initial claim that the leak was just 1,000 barrels a day. At the time this document was made available to Congress, BP claimed the leak was 5,000 barrels a day, and told Members of the House Energy and Commerce Committee that the worst case scenario was be 60,000 barrels a day. This document tells a different story.

“Considering what is now known about BP’s problems with this well prior to the Deepwater Horizon explosion, including cementing issues, leaks in the blowout preventer and gas kicks, BP should have been more honest about the dangerous condition of the well bore,” said Markey, the chairman of the Energy and Environment Subcommittee in the House Energy and Commerce Committee.

On Thursday, Coast Guard Admiral Thad Allen was asked in his daily briefing about the condition of the well bore.  He said there, “So what I would tell you is we don’t know exactly the condition of the well bore. And that’s one of the unknowns that we’re managing around in terms of risks.  And that’s the reason we didn’t go, didn’t go to excessive pressures on the top kill and decided that we’d deal with containment and then go for the final relief well.”

According to Admiral Allen: "I think that one thing that nobody knows is the condition of the well bore from below the blowout preventer down to the actual oil field itself.  And we don’t know, we don’t know if the well bore has been compromised or not."

What the BP document suggests that if the well bore is compromised or becomes compromised, we now know we could be looking at a flow rate 100 times BP's initial estimate.  Even if we can't know for certain the condition of the well bore, we should have known how much oil could flow from it--BP did.

“When the oil spill started, BP said it was only 1,000 barrels a day. Now we know it could end up being 100 times larger than that in a worst-case scenario,” said Markey. “This document raises very troubling questions about what BP knew and when they knew it. It is clear that, from the beginning, BP has not been straightforward with the government or the American people about the true size of this spill. Now the families living and working in the Gulf are suffering from their incompetence.”

“BP needs to tell us what it will do if the well bore is compromised and 100,000 barrels per day of oil spills into the ocean. At this point, we need real contingency planning, not a plan with dead scientists and walruses,” said Markey.




Have you seen:




As always, the rest of this story, meaning all the related links and articles, have been posted in comments below.  Take a quick scan of what we have so far.




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Reader Comments (30)

Tony Hayward: "Let Me Be Very Clear: I Fully Grasp The Terrible Reality"


His written testimony from last week...
Jun 21, 2010 at 2:41 PM | Registered CommenterDailyBail
The Joe and Tony Show

What we learned from Tony Hayward and Joe Barton at the BP hearings.

Jun 21, 2010 at 2:41 PM | Registered CommenterDailyBail
White House chief of staff Rahm Emanuel dubbed it “a big mistake.” Senate Minority Leader Mitch McConnell said the moment begged for “a better PR adviser.” Alabama Sen. Richard Shelby called for heads to roll.

It was Sunday morning, and once again BP was struggling to get a grip on its image.

The newest firestorm was touched off when the company’s CEO, Tony Hayward, was photographed attending a yacht race off the southern coast of England. His yacht, “Bob,” was in the competition.

The event, coming just days after BP said Hayward would be moved off managing BP’s day-to-day response to the oil leak in the Gulf of Mexico, was “the height of stupidity,” Shelby, a Republican, said on CBS’s “Face the Nation.”

“I believe myself that he should go,” the Alabama senator said of Hayward. “I don't know how he can represent a company in crisis like BP and ignore what's going on in the Gulf of Mexico."

Emanuel stopped short of calling for Hayward’s ouster, but said the weekend jaunt “part of a long line of PR gaffes and mistakes,” and acidly referred to Hayward’s infamous lament: “I’d like my life back.”

Jun 21, 2010 at 2:42 PM | Registered CommenterDailyBail

Markey: Internal BP Document Shows Worst Case Scenario for Spill Could Be 100,000 Barrels Per Day
Jun 21, 2010 at 2:43 PM | Registered CommenterDailyBail
Lost in the catastrophic aftermath of the Gulf of Mexico oil spill is the gripping tale of the rig workers and the Coast Guard crewmen who rescued them. Sean Flynn re-creates their long, harrowing, heart-pounding night


Jun 21, 2010 at 2:44 PM | Registered CommenterDailyBail
Jun 21, 2010 at 2:45 PM | Registered CommenterDailyBail
WaPo Asks 'Who Cares' if President Golfs During Crisis, Forgets They Did in 2002

Poor Barack Obama. Being president can take a lot out of him. That's why he needs to relax on the links, and relieve some stress into his golf game. No problem, says the Washington Post, the Gulf Spill can wait. This is the same Washington Post that berated President Bush for golfing while an armed conflict was taking place…in Israel.

Not that suicide bombings in Israel are an unserious matter, but doesn't the disaster in the Gulf require at least as much attention (far more, in my mind) from the President? The Post doesn't seem to think so.

So while the paper decried Bush's "golf cart diplomacy" and devoted over 600 words to suggesting that Bush's golf game was distracting from his work on the Israeli-Palestinian conflict, the Post found no such grounds to criticize Obama. As a reporter for one of the paper's blogs put it, "who cares?" Obviously not the Post (h/t Jim Hoft).

Jun 21, 2010 at 2:46 PM | Registered CommenterDailyBail
It's hard to see which branch of the American tree is more corrupt, the corporate branch or government branch. I vote for the corporate branch because it is so much bigger and its members get so much more money.
Jun 21, 2010 at 3:29 PM | Unregistered CommenterJames Street
@ James....i agree but here's the stunner...there is less corruption here than in ANY other country...it's endemic pretty much everywhere else...and we have more transparency (by miles) than anyone else...but it's still very, very bad here...


Who Died And Made BP King Of The Gulf Of Mexico?

Jun 21, 2010 at 3:44 PM | Registered CommenterDailyBail
The BP Oil Gusher and Al Gore’s Hypocritical Defense of the First Amendment

Jun 21, 2010 at 3:51 PM | Registered CommenterDailyBail
But what if the"BOP" is not evan there...? I have heared that there is a 1/4 mi. long crack in the sea bead floor. Its leaking in many places.

If what we see on TV was the real leak, all they would have to do is unbold the upper flange where they cut off the bent pipe, and rebolt a new flange with a shut off weel, and shut er down.

Maby most belive what they see is real, I neaver have. Could it be the Mini-Sub stayed under the Deep Water, and waited for the 2 maned torpedios set corse for the bottom to destroy the "BOP" and the sea floor. Apon hearing the Nuke's go off he then detanated his nuke as the Deep Water gos up for max. efect.

Hence the Huge Fire Ball on the surface. You would have 5,000 ft. of oil and gas comming to the top after the "BOP" was taken out. And how else can you get a 1/4 mi. crack in the sea floor. By BP drilling into a Magma Chamber.

Im down to 2 reasons, and neither one looks good for our country. Both would have the same resalt. & the media dose what the media dose best..................... "You Lye"...............................! As the oil starts to lap up on shore on the states east of the blow out, La. too will fill with oil and back push onto the Texas Shore Line.

I think by Sep 1 we are going to witness something the American People have only seen in the Movies. The out come will be nothing like the movies end. There will be no Credits to Roll.......!
Jun 21, 2010 at 4:00 PM | Unregistered CommenterTexas Dar
i think it's cracked and leaking in several spots as well t dar...matt simmons built all that into his 120,000 estimate...
Jun 21, 2010 at 4:30 PM | Registered CommenterDailyBail
Attorney: Deepwater Horizon Managers Knew About Oil Rig Problem Before Explosion


Back in February...
Jun 21, 2010 at 4:32 PM | Registered CommenterDailyBail
BP oil disaster: How much oil is left?

BP oil disaster: The underwater oil field still holds 94 to 97 percent of its oil, meaning that it could keep gushing for another two to four years.

Jun 21, 2010 at 4:43 PM | Registered CommenterDailyBail
Hey, could it be that "BP" put out the Mini-Sub theroy just to cover its tracks, knowing all along something was about to happen again. Yes, I've been holding on to this idea becouse of what we have found out how 911 was caried out on the American People.

Could this have come from the same people, but to a differant senareo and acheve the same afect. Hurt the American People. We all know that goverment knew 911 was going down.

Bush placed him self down south reading a "See Spot Run" book to kids in class. When told, he had the look on his face like, Hum, they did it. & went back reading "Bobby & Jane's Mom Bring out Cookies, and a Dog Bone for Spot".......

Im just thinking here. It mimmikes the same senarieo. Just like the hurricane in La. To many pieces of the puzzle pieces are becomming the same "Puzzle Piece" ?
Jun 21, 2010 at 5:04 PM | Unregistered CommenterTexas Dar
I still think the corporate branch is more corrupt because 1) most large corporations are multinational and are "equal-government-bribers" and 2) the GDP of most countries is calculated by adding the productivity of the corporations.

It always depends on the country of course (China, Russia, Japan) but most governments are at least 60-40 controlled by corporations.

Government regulations? That's communism.
Jun 21, 2010 at 9:30 PM | Unregistered CommenterJames Street
Just in.........................BP screwed the city of Cleveland over long before this Dar. We used to be the corporate home of Standard Oil of Ohio (SOHIO) Remember those gas stations? Well, BP slowly bought out Standard Ohio. Sohio built a brend new corporate headquarters building for themselves here in Cleveland in the late 70's/early 80's, and employed about 2000+ workers here in the city of Cleveland. Cleveland was on a great comeback except when BP got enough money to buy out the controlling interest of SOHIO. Guess what happened? They shut down the national headquarters here in Cleveland and the 50 some story brand new office building. Now it is less than 30% occupied. Most of the jobs went back to mother england, the rest went to their new American Headquarters in Chicago because they just bought out ARCO! (Atlantic Richfield), which they also severely downsized. Now there is only one American owned oil company left and it is still here in Ohio. Marathon Oil is it my friend! Every other company is non american. Why has our government allowed this rip off to happen?? Payoffs payoffs payoffs to the Left wing democrat controlled Congress all of those years when this happened. The President doesn't control this, Congress and the Senate are the controlling entity and they were Democrat from before 1970 til 1992.
Cleveland is sinking into Lake Erie because the government has allowed the Steel Mills to go offshore, the Banks are now owned by entities called "The Royal Bank of Scotland" The Bank of Britain" and others like the Bank of Hong Kong which the Brits still own. The government owns our auto manufacturers and people are buying off shore cars because ours pretty much have sucked! Ford seems to be on a comeback! YEAH!!! Why are we letting companies from other countries control our resources, and a president who was now born in this country to hold that office!????

Jun 22, 2010 at 12:15 AM | Unregistered CommenterTexas Dar
Some Good News, School Kids singing songs you can be proud of this time. Thank God, one teacher knowes better than to have them taught to Prais Alla.......................

Jun 22, 2010 at 2:09 PM | Unregistered CommenterTexas Dar

please join my cause to get everyone we can to stop using BP until they clean up their mess... i would like for everyone to really know whats going on and how they are not doing anything to help at all.
Jun 23, 2010 at 7:08 PM | Unregistered Commenteramelia
Amelia, you must not be a British BP pensioner. I hope you are going to vote Obama out of office too.

Please tell us what is going on???
Jun 23, 2010 at 7:39 PM | Unregistered CommenterZarathustra
Don't believe everything the media is telling you is my point.
Jun 23, 2010 at 7:41 PM | Unregistered CommenterZarathustra
I have never bought British Petroleum, good luck Amelia.
Jun 23, 2010 at 8:34 PM | Unregistered CommenterS. Gompers
"BP DISASTER: Leaked Internal Documents Say Spill Could Be 100,000 Barrels Per Day"

Yes, BUT on the bright side ..no. wait ...there IS no bright side.
Never mind.
Jun 24, 2010 at 4:56 AM | Unregistered CommenterRecoverylessRecovery
Its sad we all dont have a Marathon in every town. Its the last American Co. we have. Thoes that do, please buy gas there.
Jun 24, 2010 at 5:02 PM | Unregistered CommenterTexas Dar
When BP said could be trusted to drill in the gulf they company said that being safe was in its own best interest and that they could be trusted to protect the environment. Therefore they would be able to drill safely at depths that far exceeded any than had been attempted before by pointing out that they have some of the best scientists, engineers and oil rig experts in world. This argument proved to be false. Company’s only constant function is to make as much money as they can and in this process they are allowed to rise and fall. By design companies have no responsibility to humanity, society, environment or the future any more than it serves its own interest. Companies have to be regulated so that society’s interests are represented. We have seen with the oil companies and the financial crisis that not only are big companies not able to take care of the peoples interests but without regulation they cannot control their own interests either.
Aug 1, 2010 at 3:39 PM | Unregistered CommenterSunflower Pipes
Got to love creative advertising.
Aug 1, 2010 at 3:54 PM | Unregistered CommenterZ
i just checked out his link to sunflower pipes...nice touch...
Aug 2, 2010 at 11:45 PM | Registered CommenterDailyBail
I am amazed they did not think of stuffing the well full of paraphernalia sooner
Aug 2, 2010 at 11:59 PM | Unregistered CommenterS. Gompers
yes...pieces from the millions and millions of broken glass pipes that litter america's households...
Aug 3, 2010 at 12:18 AM | Registered CommenterDailyBail
I don't get how they drilled without having a back up plan.
i don't care what excuse you have " oh they cut corners" ok if that fixes the issue with you, then be happy with that.
We all know they cut corners. but morals can only let you screw up a certain percentage of the planet.
Aug 13, 2010 at 12:18 AM | Unregistered CommenterTruXter

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